Goldman Sachs lists ten things India needs to do to grow 40 times by 2050June 19th, 2008 - 2:08 pm ICT by ANI
London, June 19 (ANI): Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the worlds largest investment bank, has outlined 10 things for India to improve upon, in order to achieve its potential and grow 40 times by 2050.
According to Goldman Sachs global research report on Ten Things for India to Achieve its 2050 Potential, the worlds second fastest growing economy has the potential to even outgrow the US economy by 2050 provided it pays attention to the following ten fields: (1) improve governance (2) raise educational achievement (3) increase quality and quantity of universities (4) control inflation (5) introduce a credible fiscal policy (6) liberalize financial markets (7) increase trade with neighbours (8) increase agricultural productivity (9) improve infrastructure and (10) improve environmental quality.
Having the potential and actually achieving it are two separate things, the report says bluntly.
Delivery of all these and more would ensure strong, persistent, medium-to-long-term growth, allowing India to reach its amazing potential, the report, written by Jim O’Neill, head (global research), Goldman Sachs, and Tushar Poddar, vice president (research), Asia Economic Research Team, Goldman Sachs India, said.
The report said India is ranked 110 out of 181 in Goldman’s growth environment scores, a system that ranks the development climate in various countries. That puts it behind other emerging markets such as China, Brazil and Russia.
Without better governance, delivery systems and effective implementation, India will find it difficult to educate its citizens, build its infrastructure, increase agricultural productivity and ensure that the fruits of economic growth are well established, the report said.
Goldman highlights Indias literacy rate, which is as low as 61 per cent. India is projected to add 310 million people — about the population of the US — to its population of 1.1billion by 2020, The Financial Times reported.
This implies a massive increase in public education spending; beyond the 3 per cent of gross domestic product it currently spends to upgrade its already faltering school and higher education systems.
The report also cites governance as one of Indias biggest issues. The problem is not too much democracy but too little. Indias public services suffer from a lack of accountability. In health, water and education the state is the regulator and provider of services, yet politicians are nowhere to be seen once they are elected.
On the economy, the government needs fixed targets for inflation and the fiscal deficit. Indias deficit, if it is combined with various off-budget subsidies, is one of the highest in the world and is projected to reach more than 7 per cent of GDP this financial year.
According to the investment bank, if India works harder on the necessary reforms and implements the changes, it could raise its economic growth potential annually by as much as 2.8 percent and reach double digit economic growth, which China has been able to record.
GES, introduced by the investment bank in December 2005, aims to summarize the overall structural conditions and policy settings for countries globally.
To arrive at a score on a scale of 10, Goldman Sachs looks at 13 variables including inflation, government deficit, external debt, investment rates, openness of the economy, penetration of personal computers, phones, Internet, education, life expectancy, political stability, rule of law and corruption. (ANI)
- Inflation still at 'unacceptable' level: Pranab - Dec 15, 2011
- Africa emerging as a continent of opportunity - Dec 28, 2011
- Fitch cuts India outlook to negative, Pranab responds (Lead) - Jun 18, 2012
- Nobel laureate warns European economic crisis may deepen - Jan 19, 2012
- BRICS targets $500 bn intra-group trade by 2015 - Mar 28, 2012
- BRICS Summit - Facts at a glance - Mar 28, 2012
- Africa and BRICS: A rising engagement - Jun 26, 2011
- India's growth may temper to 7 percent, rate hikes to go on: Deloitte - Sep 01, 2011
- China's quarterly GDP growth expected to drop below 9 percent - Jan 16, 2012
- Pakistan's economy faces considerable challenges: ADB - Apr 06, 2011
- Indian economy may grow at 8 percent in 2012-13: Rangarajan (Lead) - Feb 22, 2012
- G-20 Summit Declaration - Jun 20, 2012
- India will soon be back on high growth path: Chidambaram - Jul 10, 2012
- Inflation too high, says RBI; defends tight money policy (Lead) - Jun 19, 2012
- ADB sees Indian economy growing at 7 percent - Apr 11, 2012
Tags: agricultural productivity, control inflation, economic research, educational achievement, emerging markets, financial markets, financial times, fiscal policy, global research, goldman sachs, goldman sachs group, goldman sachs group inc, growth environment, investment bank, literacy rate, o neill, poddar, sachs group inc, tushar, vice president research