McCain cutting into Obama’s lead: Polls
August 21st, 2008 - 3:58 pm ICT by IANSWashington, Aug 21 (DPA) John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, has dramatically sliced into Democratic rival Barack Obama’s lead in most nationwide polls, bringing the presidential race to a dead heat.An average of national polls showed Obama clinging to a 1.2 percent lead - a statistical tie - in a tally provided by realclearpolitics.com, the closest margin in months and just days ahead of the Democratic convention in Denver, Colorado.
Perhaps more telling, a realclearpolitics.com analysis showed McCain has taken the lead in the electoral college, the state-by-state breakdown that ultimately determines the winner of a presidential election.
The analysis included polling in “toss up” states that can quickly swing the election, but for the time being gave McCain a slight 274-to-264 lead in the electoral count.
McCain’s jump on the Illinois senator came last week, while Obama was taking a break from the campaign trail and vacationing in Hawaii, and as the McCain campaign sharpened its attacks against Obama.
The conflict between Georgia and Russia that erupted Aug 7 may have also been a factor. McCain made several tough statements criticizing Russia, a move that further strengthened voters’ perceptions that he is more experienced and capable when it comes to foreign policy.
McCain, 71, has also hammered Obama, 47, for his hardline stance against offshore oil drilling, with the Arizona senator striking a chord with voters unhappy about high petrol prices. McCain’s attacks forced Obama to shift his position and back limited offshore drilling as part of his comprehensive plan to address the energy crisis.
The Gallup poll, which tracks voter sentiment daily, showed Obama with a one-point lead Tuesday before climbing back to two points Wednesday.
Obama can expect a boost in the coming days when he announces his vice presidential candidate and accepts the Democratic nomination Aug 28.
Historically, presidential candidates experience a 5-percent jump after the conventions. Obama’s, however, could be short-lived because the Republicans begin their gathering Sep 1 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Media attention has begun to focus on the vice presidential picks.
Obama is expected to announce his running mate Saturday in Springfield, Illinois, where he declared his candidacy.
The Obama campaign has been carefully vetting the short list believed to include Delaware senator Joseph Biden, the 66-year-old chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Biden’s experience on foreign policy could help Obama close the gap with McCain on the issue.
Other candidates include: Evan Bayh, 52, a popular senator and former governor of Indiana, Bill Richardson, 60, the governor of New Mexico and Tim Kaine, 50, the governor of Virginia.
Hillary Clinton’s name has also been thrown around, but Obama’s chief rival for the Democratic presidential nomination is not considered a likely choice.
McCain is believed to be considering Mitt Romney, the 61-year old former governor of Massachusetts who could help garner support for conservative Republicans sceptical of McCain.
Other possible candidates are former Pennsylvania governor Tom Ridge, 62, and Connecticut senator Joseph Lieberman, 66. Lieberman, once a Democrat and now an independent, openly supports McCain and the Republicans on most foreign policy issues.
- John McCain ranked most conservative US senator in 2010 - Feb 25, 2011
- Obama needs Palin on the same ticket to win Arizona in 2012 - Feb 03, 2011
- Latino voters sticking with Obama, Democrats: Poll - Dec 29, 2011
- Romney sweeps five states, readies to battle Obama - Apr 25, 2012
- US senator meets Kashmir governor, chief minister - Aug 17, 2011
- McCain waxes eloquent on Palin while likening her to "divisive" Reagan - Nov 29, 2010
- Julianne Moore to portray Sarah Palin in a movie - Mar 10, 2011
- McCain's visit sparks debate in Kashmir - Aug 18, 2011
- Romney, Santorum face showdown in Obama's home state - Mar 20, 2012
- After five-state sweep, Romney readies to battle Obama (Lead) - Apr 25, 2012
- Palin's victory and defeat speeches leaked - Nov 05, 2009
- Obama faces uphill climb, swing states poll indicate - Nov 05, 2011
- Poll: More than 6 in 10 would not vote for Trump, Palin - Apr 27, 2011
- Mitt Romney is backed by Kelly Ayotte - Nov 23, 2011
- John McCain endorses Mitt Romney - Jan 05, 2012
Tags: democratic nomination, electoral count, gallup poll, john mccain, mccain campaign, national polls, offshore oil drilling, toss up states, vacationing in hawaii, voter sentiment