Lawyers Long March would further deteriorate law and order: Stratfor
March 15th, 2009 - 5:21 pm ICT by ANI
- 
Lahore, Mar. 15 (ANI): A US-based geopolitical security and intelligence service has forecasted that the lawyers Long March, which is being stage to establish the rule of law, would end up being an unruly affair due to clashes between the PPP and the PML-N. The Stratfor analysis predicts that the Pakistani military is faced with an uphill task of stabilizing the situation. With US and UK support, Pakistans military is trying to broker a settlement and avoid a showdown between the PPP and PML-N. Neither Islamabads security establishment nor Washington wants to see the current imbroglio worsen. All eyes are on the growing insurgencies in Pakistan and Afghanistan as the US, NATO struggle to find ways to prevent the Talibanisation of Southwest Asia, the Daily Times quotes the Stratfor analysis, as saying. If efforts for reconciliation between the two sides fail, the Stratfor analysis foresees the military stepping in and trying to reboot the system. If a new civil-military hybrid government forms in Pakistan, it would lead to further chaos. First, PPP government will have to reverse its actions and acquiesce on the demands of the lawyers. A revitalised judiciary and provincial government will create an imbalance in the political system, leading to fresh political conflict, says the report. Furthermore, the Stratfor analysis notes that Pakistan is becoming increasingly polarized between idealists and realists. The idealists are pushing a hard-line nationalist agenda that includes a confrontational approach, while the realists believe the internal and external situations must be dealt with pragmatically. What this means is that forces challenging the writ of the state will be able to exploit the reluctance of the PML-N and its idealist allies to take a strong position against the insurgents. (ANI)
Related Stories
- Did ISI have a hand in attack on CIA base? - Jan 12, 2010
- PML-N unlikely to demand Zardari's resignation over NRO - Dec 21, 2009
- `Another Mumbai type attack possible to provoke India-Pakistan conflict' - Jan 05, 2010
- Differences in PML-N over support to PPP-led Govt. to save Pakistan - Apr 28, 2009
- Mumbai terror strikes may lead to Pak destabilization, says Stratfor - Nov 29, 2008
- 'Concerned' Sharif cuts short London tour, heads back home - Dec 24, 2009
- With Pakistan unlikely to change, India faces another attack: Stratfor - Apr 17, 2009
- PPP, PML-N reconciliation efforts hit hard by 'smear Sharif' campaign - Sep 04, 2009
- PML-N media committee to counter Sharif 'smear campaign' in 'tit-for-tat manner' - Sep 02, 2009
- US condemns attack near Indian mission in Kabul - Oct 09, 2009
- confrontational approach
- external situations
- government forms
- idealist
- imbroglio
- insurgencies
- intelligence service
- nationalist agenda
- pakistani military
- pml n
- political conflict
- ppp government
- provincial government
- realists
- revitalised
- security establishment
- southwest asia
- stratfor analysis
- uphill task
- what this means
Posted in South Asia, |