Exit polls were off the mark againMay 16th, 2009 - 6:54 pm ICT by IANS
New Delhi, May 16 (IANS) The exit polls have gone wrong yet again. While all the surveys had predicted an edge for the United Progressive Alliance (UPA), they also said the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) would be a close second. But as results came in Saturday, the gap between the two was expected to be a whopping 100 seats.
The exit polls gave the UPA 185 to 205 seats and the NDA 142 to 198 while predicting as many as 110 to 130 seats for the Third Front, which, as trends reveal, may not cross even half of that.
The predictions for the UPA did not include the projections for the Samajwadi Party, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP), of 25 to 35 seats. The trends show that they can add up to 24.
The RJD and LJP have been saying they are part of the UPA coalition but contested independently of the Congress, while the Samajwadi Party joined them in what was termed the Fourth Front.
The surveys gave 110-130 seats to the Third Front that is led by the Left parties.
The Left parties, which supported Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s government until July last year, were projected by exit polls to get 38 seats.
But according to trends, the Left parties are expected to get around 28, a huge fall from their existing tally of 59.
The remaining seats were credited to smaller and regional parties, including the ruling Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) of Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Mayawati.
The exit polls had been wide off the mark even in the 2004 elections. Nearly all of them predicted an NDA victory by a wide margin, but the Bharatiya Janata Party-led grouping lost to a rejuvenated Congress.
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- UPA, NDA in close race, say exit polls (Lead) - May 13, 2009
- No alliance will reach 272 mark: Poll survey - Apr 11, 2009
- UP headed for hung assembly: exit polls - Mar 03, 2012
- Split verdict in UP but SP largest party: Exit polls (Roundup) - Mar 03, 2012
- Bihar verdict will decide high-stakes battle - Nov 23, 2010
- Nitish Kumar rejects exit poll results - Nov 23, 2010
- Nitish Kumar's alliance heads for victory in Bihar (Second Lead) - Nov 24, 2010
- NDA and UPA neck and neck: India TV pre-poll survey - Apr 13, 2009
- No possibility of Third Front: Nitish Kumar - Mar 12, 2012
- TV channels got it right on Bengal poll outcome - May 13, 2011
- Lalu confident of forming government in Bihar - Nov 21, 2010
- NDA has an edge over UPA: India TV pre-poll survey - Apr 05, 2009
- JD-U, BJP take early lead in Bihar (Lead) - Nov 24, 2010
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