US may not be a global economic, military power by 2025: Intelligence panelNovember 19th, 2008 - 3:01 pm ICT by ANI
Washington, Nov.19 (ANI): A top U.S. intelligence panel has predicted that by the year 2025, America will be playing a lesser role in global affairs, particularly on the economic and military fronts.
It also warns of a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. The National Intelligence Council (NIC) report titled “Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World,” is slated for release as early as Thursday. The report also predicts “a unified Korea” is likely by then, and that China will be the world’’s second-largest economy and a major military power.
“The United States will remain the single most powerful country, although less dominant,” according to a “working draft” of the document obtained by The Washington Times.
“Shrinking economic and military capabilities may force the U.S. into a difficult set of tradeoffs between domestic and foreign-policy priorities.”
A senior intelligence official said some details have changed in the final report, but “the thrust is the same.”
The draft says: “The next 20 years of transition toward a new international system are fraught with risks, such as a nuclear arms race in the Middle East and possible interstate conflicts over resources.”
“We see a unified Korea as likely by 2025 and assess the peninsula will probably be de-nuclearized, either via ongoing diplomacy or as a necessary condition for international acceptance of and cooperation with a needy new Korea.”
The NIC’’s last such report, issued four years ago, sought to look at the world in 2020. (ANI)
Tags: conflicts over resources, diplomacy, foreign policy, global affairs, global trends, intelligence official, intelligence panel, international acceptance, interstate conflicts, military capabilities, military power, national intelligence council, necessary condition, nuclear arms race, policy priorities, thrust, tradeoffs, unified korea, washington times, working draft