Obamas 10-point lead now historically beyond McCain to overcome
October 13th, 2008 - 6:16 pm ICT by ANI ( Leave a comment )
Washington , Oct 13 (ANI): With Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama taking a comfortable ten point-lead over his Republican rival John McCain as per the latest poll, he is all but set to ride the wave to the White House, as historically this kind of a lead in October has proven to be unbeatable in the past.
While there are few signs of progress for McCain in the poll, recent history suggests that mid-October leads are vulnerable, although turning around a late double-digit deficit would be unprecedented in the modern era, says a report in the Washington Post.
The paper said: At this stage in 1992, Bill Clinton held a 14-point advantage over incumbent George H.W. Bush in Post-ABC polling, and it was as high as 19 points before the election, which he won by six points. In mid-October 1976, Jimmy Carter had leads as big as 13 points in Gallup polling; Carter defeated incumbent Gerald Ford by two points.
According to it, with just over three weeks to go for the November 4, Obama appears to be gaining momentum and McCain stalled or losing ground on a range of issues and personal traits.
The poll figures suggest that Obama is leading 53 percent to 43 percent among likely voters, and for the first time in the general-election campaign, voters gave the Democrat a clear edge on tax policy and providing strong leadership.
Obama is winning economy voters by 62 percent to 33 percent, nearly a 2-to-1 ratio. He also continues to stay above the 50 percent mark on the key question of his experience: 54 percent in the new poll said he has enough experience to serve effectively as president, putting him about even with where Bill Clinton was on this question in early October 1992.
The poll was conducted after Tuesday night’’s debate, which most voters said did not sway their opinions much. Still, voters” impressions of Obama are up, and views of McCain have slipped.
Nearly two-thirds of voters, 64 percent, now view Obama favorably, up six percentage points from early September. About a third of voters have a better opinion of the senator from Illinois because of his debate performances, while 8 percent have a lower opinion of him.
By contrast, more than a quarter said they think worse of McCain as a result of the debates, more than double the proportion saying their opinion had improved. McCain’’s overall rating has also dipped seven points, to 52 percent, over the past month.
With the final debate set for Wednesday at Hofstra University in Hempstead , N.Y. , McCain faces a narrowing window in which to reverse course. (ANI)
- Obama's approval ratings shot up in two polls following 'Arizona shooting' speech - Jan 19, 2011
- Obama faces uphill climb, swing states poll indicate - Nov 05, 2011
- Obama needs Palin on the same ticket to win Arizona in 2012 - Feb 03, 2011
- Obama's approval ratings soar despite disappointments over health-employment issues - Jan 22, 2011
- US media polls present grim picture for Democrats in Nov mid-term elections - Sep 08, 2010
- Putin, Medvedev ratings drop ahead of elections - Nov 09, 2011
- Poll: More than 6 in 10 would not vote for Trump, Palin - Apr 27, 2011
- Obama leads Romney in poll - Feb 07, 2012
- Americans evenly divided over Bush vs Obama - Oct 09, 2010
- Obama now holds double digit lead in key battleground states - Oct 14, 2008
- 67 percent Americans doubt Palin's presidential qualifications, finds poll - Oct 31, 2010
- Obama leads all potential 2012 Republican challengers: Poll - Jun 12, 2010
- Obama's approval ratings 'remain steady' despite several setbacks: Poll - Dec 17, 2010
- Obama leads over four potential 2012 GOP contenders: Poll - Jan 21, 2011
- Palin drops to fifth place in GOP 2012 presidential primary race - Apr 09, 2011
Tags: barack obama, bill clinton, democratic presidential candidate, election campaign, gaining momentum, gallup, george h w bush, gerald ford, incumbent, jimmy carter, john mccain, latest poll, losing ground, new poll, personal traits, point advantage, poll figures, recent history, six points, washington post