China to be main player in doubling of gas emissions by 2030May 1st, 2008 - 2:32 pm ICT by admin
Canberra, May 1 (ANI): A new study has determined that China would play a major role in doubling of global greenhouse emissions by 2030.
According to a report in news.com.au, they study says that rapid economic growth in China is fuelling the increase in worldwide emissions and calls for developing countries to commit to binding emissions reduction targets to avoid such a bleak outcome.
The study, headed by Professor Garnaut, an economist who heads the Governments Garnaut Review, predicts the world reaching a level of emissions 20 years earlier than that predicted by the groundbreaking Stern Review by British economist Nicholas Stern.
In the platinum age - a term coined by Professor Garnaut for the current period of exceptionally fast economic growth led by China and India - fossil-fuel emissions are spiralling.
CO2 emissions from fossil-fuel burning increased by only one per cent a year on average in the 1990s, but grew by three per cent a year from 2000 to 2005, the draft paper said.
Since 2000, non-OECD emissions have been growing almost six times as fast as OECD emissions, accounting for 85 per cent of the growth in emissions, it added.
Under platinum age projections, the academics said that China would be responsible for 37 per cent of global emissions by 2030.
The projections suggest that emissions will grow by 2.5 per cent a year in the 2005-2030 period to a level of 83 billion tonnes, almost double their current level.
Global effort to cut greenhouse gases will need to be much larger to avoid the projected scenario, it added.
Larger and earlier cuts in developed country emissions will be required than previously thought, and major deviations from baselines will be required in developing countries by 2020, the study said.
It is hard to see how the required cuts could be achieved without all major developing, as well as developed, countries adopting economy-wide policies to reduce emissions, he added.
The Garnaut Reviews interim report, released in February, described a dire outlook for global warming and recommended developed nations pursue emissions cuts of 70-90 per cent by 2050.
According to the authors, in light of this scenario, developed countries would have to make emissions cuts by 2020 at or above the top end of the range being discussed in global talks.
Without all major emitters binding themselves to economy-wide targets or policies, given rapid emissions growth, the prospects for the global climate change mitigation effort are bleak, the report said. (ANI)
- Global CO2 emissions reach record high in 2010: IEA - May 31, 2011
- Eating wisely can lower carbon footprint: Study - May 14, 2012
- China's carbon emissions may peak around 2030 - Aug 18, 2009
- China aspires to reduce energy consumption per unit of GDP by 2015 - Mar 05, 2011
- 'India's per capita carbon emissions to rise threefold by 2030' - Feb 25, 2010
- Russia to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 25 percent - Jun 22, 2012
- India's fuel subsidies don't help poor, says expert - Apr 23, 2010
- Global CO2 emissions may reach 'record levels in 2010' - Nov 22, 2010
- Global CO2 emissions continue to soar - Jul 20, 2012
- US rejects any legal emissions cuts - Dec 05, 2011
- Eating wisely can lower carbon footprint: Study (Lead) - May 14, 2012
- Global carbon emissions up 50 percent - Dec 05, 2011
- Forests remove 2.4 bn tonnes of carbon from air - Aug 11, 2011
- Deadlock over Kyoto Protocol's extension persists at Durban - Dec 06, 2011
- China to be world's wind power leader in 2010 - Oct 13, 2010
Tags: british economist, canberra, developed country, developing countries, draft paper, economic growth in china, fossil fuel emissions, gas emissions, global effort, global emissions, global greenhouse, greenhouse emissions, greenhouse gases, nicholas stern, oecd, platinum age, professor garnaut, rapid economic growth, reduction targets, six times